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Planned vs. actual load: what to do when they don't match

Learn how to review CT differences and projections. Cases of missed sessions, longer workouts and pending data, without blindly recovering load.

JPJuanPaCreator of TrainingForever·November 4, 2026

By JuanPa, creator of TrainingForever · Updated 4 November 2026

Planning is a hypothesis about what the athlete will do. Execution provides information about what happened and how they responded. The two loads differing does not automatically mean the plan or the athlete has failed.

The useful comparison seeks to explain the difference before changing the next session. And it distinguishes a confirmed rest day from an activity that has not yet been recorded.

Case: a planned week of 300 CT ends at 205

Daily comparison: 300 CT planned and 205 completed, with Wednesday missed, Thursday reduced and Sunday shorter.
Hypothetical data. Wednesday with no activity is confirmed as a session not performed.
DayPlannedCompletedExample context
Monday00Rest
Tuesday4040Completed
Wednesday700Not performed
Thursday3025Reduced
Friday6060Completed
Saturday00Rest
Sunday10080Shorter duration
Total30020595 CT less

68.3% of the planned CT was completed. It is a descriptor of this example, not a criterion for judging the athlete. Before adding training, find out why the week changed.

What the coach would do

If there was a one-off unforeseen event, reorganize the upcoming priorities without trying to automatically add 95 CT. If it repeats every week, the plan may not fit the person's life.

If the sessions were reduced because of feeling bad, interpreting the deficit as a debt can make the adjustment worse. It is worth looking at which stimuli were preserved and what is needed now.

If the sessions were in fact done but files are missing, the first task is to complete the record. A chart with less data can look like a download that never happened.

The future of the curve is not a result

The same Acute Fatigue (FA) story extends with two future scenarios: full plan and a week with one missed session.
The solid line is history. The dashed and dotted lines represent hypotheses from day 22. The background distinguishes the future.

When the plan changes, the projection must change too. Its usefulness is to explore the distribution of load you are proposing, not to announce how someone will feel in a week's time.

Four reasons for a large difference

ReasonWhat to check
Different durationValid minutes and recoveries
Different intensityBlocks performed and threshold used
Different methodPlan by pace and execution by HR, for example
Incomplete data or structureSync, zones and estimates

In intervals, the midpoint of a planned zone does not exactly predict what the athlete will end up doing. Pauses, terrain and conditions add legitimate differences.

How the plan's load is estimated

The documentation describes an estimate based on steps, durations, zones and thresholds. The sport branches have their own aggregation rules. When there is not enough data, the value must be identified as estimated.

To compare with execution, use the same discipline, period, unit and calculation criterion whenever possible. In strength, planned and completed CT use the same normalized session RPE scale: minutes × RPE ÷ 7.5 × 100 ÷ 60. A 45-minute session at RPE 6 is 60 CT in both cases, not 270 raw units. Differences usually come from elsewhere: planned strength minutes are the planned duration minus the endurance parts, the planned RPE is the average of the exercises weighted by sets, and if the completed activity arrives without intensity data or execution RPE, its CT is estimated by duration.

Its sporting meaning

It allows training to be adapted to what happened. Success is maintaining an effective and achievable plan, not forcing an exact match between two columns.

What this explanation is based on

The references support concepts and limits. The numerical examples on this page are educational; they are not results from those studies.

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JP
Written by
JuanPa

Creator of TrainingForever.

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